Few Breeders’ Cup races have received the increase in depth that the Dirt Mile has during the last few months. Even if Vekoma chooses the Sprint, the Dirt Mile has gotten a boost after strong performances from Complexity, Knicks Go, Mr. Money and Mr Freeze and commitments from War of Will and Art Collector.

The top contenders have a variety of backgrounds. Some are sprinters stretching out, some are distance runners shortening up and some are turf runners switching back to dirt. The easiest way to compare this diverse field is through speed figures. Below we take a look at the speed figures for every Dirt Mile possible through various outlets.

Horse  Best/Last Beyer  Best/Last    Brisnet Figure  Best/Last Timeform Figure 
Vekoma 110/104 113/103 125/124
Complexity  110/110 109/109 128/128
Art Collector 103/91 104/98 124/116
Knicks Go 107/107 110/110  131/131
War of Will  100/100 101/101 123/119
Mr. Money  101/94 103/96  124/118
 Rushie  97/91  103/93  118/117
Sharp Samurai   103/102  103/99  126/122
Mr Freeze  107/96 107/97  130/114
Pirate’s Punch 101/99 105/100 126/122
 Midcourt  101/101 106/103  127/125
 Silver Dust  99/99  104/97  122/119
Aurelius Maximus   99/95 96/96  115/110
 Jesus’ Team   96/91 100/98    119/115 
Hog Creek Hustle  103/91  101/99   118/106
True Timber    104/81 109/86   123/104

Who is the fastest: Vekoma and Complexity are neck and neck, depending on where one looks. Timeform favors Complexity, while Brisnet gives a slight edge to Vekoma. Knicks Go won only an allowance race last out, but he is the darling of speed figure players as his 107 BSF, 110 Brisnet Figure and 131 Timeform rating put him right in the mix with the top two.

One thing that stands out: Aside from Knicks Go’s lofty numbers in his final Breeders’ Cup prep, the other thing that stands out is the low figures that Mr. Money and Mr Freeze received in their recent wins. The Ack Ack and Fayette seem like preps to fade as a handicapper.

[Related: Prospective odds and fields for all 14 Breeders’ Cup races]

Odds and accomplishments for the 2020 Dirt Mile runners: 

Horse Claim to Fame Last Race HRN Odds 
Vekoma 2-time G1 winner 1st in Met Mile 3-1
 Complexity ’19 Champagne (G1) winner 1st in Kelso 7-2
Art Collector Blue Grass (G2) winner  4th in Preakness 6-1
 Knicks Go ’18 Breeders’ Futurity (G1) winner   1st in Keeneland allowance 10-1
War of Will   Dual surface G1 winner    3rd in Woodbine Mile   10-1
 Mr. Money 5-time G3 winner  1st in Ack Ack 12-1
Rushie G2 winner 1st in Pat Day Mile 12-1
Sharp Samurai  3-time G2 winner  2nd in City of Hope  12-1 
Mr Freeze   Gulfstream Park Mile (G2) winner  1st in Fayette (G2)  12-1 
Pirate’s Punch  G3 winner 1st in Salvator Mile   15-1  
Midcourt  G2 winner 3rd in Awesome Again 15-1
Silver Dust  3-time G3 winner  3rd in Alysheba 20-1
Aurelius Maximus   2nd in Fayette (G2) 2nd in Fayette  20-1 
Jesus’ Team  3rd in Preakness (G1)  3rd in Preakness 30-1
 Hog Creek Hustle G1 winner  2nd in Keeneland allowance   30-1 
True Timber  Multiple G1 placed  4th in Vosburgh 30-1

Breeders’ Cup Dirt Mile updates

• Trainer Tom Drury confirmed to HRN on Monday that Art Collector would bypass the Classic in favor of the Dirt Mile.

• Brad Cox has listed Knicks Go among his Breeders’ Cup probables.

• John Shirreffs confirmed that Midcourt is headed to the Breeders’ Cup and that he will decide between the Classic and Dirt Mile.

• Bill Mott did not list Endorsed as one of his six Breeders’ Cup probables.

• Chad Brown’s Network Effect has not worked since his runner-up effort in the Met Mile and appears unlikely for the Dirt Mile.

• Jesus’ Team is being pointed toward the Dirt Mile after his third-place finish in the Preakness.

• Brad Cox has confirmed that Warrior’s Charge and Owendale will not run in the Dirt Mile. 

• Mark Casse will have seven Breeders’ Cup runners, including War of Will in the Dirt Mile.

• Bret Calhoun will have three Breeders’ Cup runners, including Mr Money and Silver Dust in the Dirt Mile.

• Grant Foster confirmed to HRN that Pirate’s Punch would ship to Keeneland and Jorge Vargas Jr. will have the mount.

• Jack Sisterson told HRN that he will have two Breeders’ Cup runners, Vexatious in the Distaff and True Timber in the Dirt Mile.

• Michael McCarthy indicated that Pat Day Mile (G2) winner Rushie is on track for the Dirt Mile for his next start.

Who’s already going: Mr. Money, Rushie, Pirate’s Punch, Silver Dust, True Timber, War of Will, Mr Freeze, Knicks Go, Art Collector, Jesus’ Team 

Who could be going: Vekoma, Complexity, Sharp Samurai, Midcourt, Aurelius Maximus, Hog Creek Hustle

2020 Breeders’ Cup Dirt Mile (G1)

*Rating is based on HRN fan votes, which rank the Top Active Horses in training.

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